Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Stocks Reversing Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Rising Fiscal Cliff Fears, Global Growth Worries, Technical Selling, Tech Sector Weakness

Today's Market Take:

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 15.82 +1.61%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 143.0 -16.9%
  • Total Put/Call .87 +3.57%
  • NYSE Arms .61 -30.87%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.93 -.75%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 151.75 +.32%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 111.0 bps -2.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 210.44 bps -1.77%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.0 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 24.75 +.5 bp
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.0 +1.0 bp
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 146.0 +6 bps
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $125.0/Metric Tonne +.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 48.5 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.50 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +89 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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