Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Optimism, Seasonal Strength, Short-Covering, Consumer Discretionary/Tech Sector Strength
Broad Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Volume: Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- VIX 16.59 +.79%
- ISE Sentiment Index 145.0 -2.0%
- Total Put/Call .93 +6.90%
- NYSE Arms .88 +67.40%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 97.69 -.04%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 150.39 -.97%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 105.54 bps +.85%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 217.18 bps -2.0%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -.25 bp
- TED Spread 22.0 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
- Yield Curve 134.0 -1 bp
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $118.40/Metric Tonne +.42%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.50 +.8 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating -15 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech and medical sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long
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