Thursday, December 06, 2012

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Fiscal Cliff Optimism, Seasonal Strength, Short-Covering, Consumer Discretionary/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • VIX 16.59 +.79%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 145.0 -2.0%
  • Total Put/Call .93 +6.90%
  • NYSE Arms .88 +67.40%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 97.69 -.04%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 150.39 -.97%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 105.54 bps +.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 217.18 bps -2.0%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.5 -.25 bp
  • TED Spread 22.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% unch.
  • Yield Curve 134.0 -1 bp
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $118.40/Metric Tonne +.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.50 +.8 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 +1 bp
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -15 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech and medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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