Thursday, August 07, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine/Mideast Tensions, Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Biotech/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.68 +1.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.34 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.10 +2.60%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 59.25 +.15%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 100.0 +9.89%
  • Total Put/Call .93 -16.96%
  • NYSE Arms 1.73 +34.09% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.70 +2.54%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 78.70 +6.89%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 40.08 +2.35%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 76.22 +2.60%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 298.19 +1.24%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 317.55 +1.27%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.0 +1.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 298.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $96.0/Metric Tonne +.10%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 2.6 +2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.9 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -260 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -56 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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