Friday, August 22, 2014

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Diminished Central Bank Hopes, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Commodity/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.85 +.77%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.72 -.18%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.62 -1.05%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.52 -8.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 137.0 -3.52%
  • Total Put/Call 1.01 +44.29%
  • NYSE Arms 1.12 +12.70% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 57.60 +2.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.33 +.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 31.09 -2.57%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.75 -1.18%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 280.36 +2.65%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 311.65 -.40%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.50 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 191.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $90.10/Metric Tonne -1.96%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 4.40 +.4 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -14.80 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.15 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +1 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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