Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Rising Global Growth Fears, Increasing European Debt Angst, Retail/Financial Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Volume: Slightly Below Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.55 +9.10%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.14 +.14%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 6.86 +2.39%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.60 +2.79%
- ISE Sentiment Index 74.0 +1.37%
- Total Put/Call 1.0 +2.04%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.79 +.49%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.97 +4.98%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 33.88 +1.06%
- Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.26 -1.57%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 273.19 +.43%
- China Blended Corporate Spread Index 312.68 -.93%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 22.25 -.75 basis point
- TED Spread 21.0 +.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -13.50 unch.
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
- Yield Curve 193.0 -6.0 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $93.40/Metric Tonne +.21%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.70 -3.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.80 -.1 point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.19 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating -35 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +32 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
- Market Exposure: 50% Net Long
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