Thursday, August 27, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Oil Bounce, Commodity/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 27.0 -10.95%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.04 +.20%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.72 -5.48%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.75 +5.92%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 +.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.15 +10.58%
  • NYSE Arms .35 -8.83% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.28 -3.72%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,924.0 -.06%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 79.34 -6.06%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.95 -3.67%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 79.09 -.97%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 342.32 -5.75%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 117.20 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 14.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 +1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% unch.
  • Yield Curve 149.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.93/Metric Tonne +.48%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -2.7 +6.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 18.1 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.9 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.59 +5.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.92 -.63
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +351 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +38 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -1 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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