Thursday, August 13, 2015

Stocks Modestly Higher into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Technical Buying, Bargain-Hunting, Homebuilder/Restaurant Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.33 -2.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.70 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.1 -4.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.38 -.47%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 80.0 +63.27%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -14.42%
  • NYSE Arms 1.23 +58.25% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 76.15 +.21%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,905.0 +.96%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.95 -3.75%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.07 +1.32%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.43 -3.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 341.88 +1.94%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.91 -.75%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.25 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 148.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $57.02/Metric Tonne +1.26%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.4 -1.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 12.2 +.2 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -7.4 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.63 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.13 +.33
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +28 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -50 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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