Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Central Bank Hopes, Bargain-Hunting, Commodity Bounce, Biotech/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Undperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 30.98 -23.96%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.97 -.48%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.08 -1.87%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.01 -.74%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 78.0 +69.57%
  • Total Put/Call 1.27 +1.60%
  • NYSE Arms .96 -47.23% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.30 -2.96%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,949.0 +3.76%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 84.66 -5.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.64 -.14%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 81.86 -5.97%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 374.74 -1.90%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 117.32 -.69%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 19.75 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 28.0 -2.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.50 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 149.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.45/Metric Tonne +.32%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -15.3 +3.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 17.9 +2.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.0 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53 +3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.55 +2.06
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +278 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +398 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -150 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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