Monday, August 17, 2015

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.15 +2.40%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.98 -.20%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.74 -.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.13 -.58%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 43.0 -50.57%
  • Total Put/Call .97 -3.96%
  • NYSE Arms .82 -28.87% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 76.59 +.28%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,898.0 -.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.71 -.88%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.36 -.07%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.05 +1.25%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 343.77 +.17%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.47 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 23.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 145.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.66/Metric Tonne -.14%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.2 -4.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.2 +1.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.4 +1.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60 -3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.57 -.11
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +35 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -229 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +19 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/medical/biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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