Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Oil Bounce, Short-Covering, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.65 -5.06%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.58 -.29%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.85 +.56%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.92 -2.21%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 +5.0%
  • Total Put/Call .76 -23.23%
  • NYSE Arms 1.24 +24.84% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 79.14 +1.30%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,134.0 +1.93%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 68.51 -2.09%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 18.39 -3.11%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 72.89 -1.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 323.11 -.95%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 122.28 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.0 -1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 30.75 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.78 -.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .04% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 139.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $49.95/Metric Tonne -3.01%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -10.0 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 19.9 +1.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.60 -.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.47 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.89 +.49
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +137 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +49 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/medical/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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