Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlook Concerns, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Decline, Biotech/Pharma Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.44 +3.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.06 +.47%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.25 +.27%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.55 +3.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 -39.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.03 +15.73%
  • NYSE Arms .99 -21.79% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.75 -.45%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,057.0 -.22%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.51 -.98%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.81 -5.94%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 76.89 +2.56%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 334.79 +1.26%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.66 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 10.75 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 30.75 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.67 -.34%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 144.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $52.93/Metric Tonne -.69%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.20 +4.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 7.5 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.40 +.7 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.48 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.75 +.25
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +67 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -9 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my medical/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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