Thursday, October 22, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Tech/Restaurant Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.11 -9.52%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.12 -1.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.90 -.91%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.16 -3.43%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 -26.85%
  • Total Put/Call .93 -3.12%
  • NYSE Arms 1.23 -9.26% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 80.48 -2.08%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,074.0 +.03%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 71.25 -3.39%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.16 -7.04%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 74.83 -4.44%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 329.33 -2.0%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.80 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 32.5 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -28.5 -3.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.34 +.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 143.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $52.18/Metric Tonne -1.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -5.30 +.3 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.70 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -15.40 +.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.48 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.33 -.04
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +484 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +125 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +69 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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