Monday, October 12, 2015

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Buyout Speculation, China Bounce, Airline/HMO Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.46 -3.63%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.38 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.06 -2.64%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.84 +1.91%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 109.0 +17.20%
  • Total Put/Call .87 +1.16%
  • NYSE Arms 1.92 +50.54% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.24 -.27%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 998.0 -.96%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 78.0 -2.07%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.57 -1.67%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 78.89 -.59%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 330.66 +.23%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.72 +.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 n/a
  • TED Spread 31.75 n/a
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.39 +.1%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% n/a
  • Yield Curve 145.0 n/a
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.61/Metric Tonne +1.07%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.30 +2.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 8.70 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.80 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53 -2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.40 -.21
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -63 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +18 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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