Monday, October 19, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Oil Decline, Commodity/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.07 +.13%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.33 -.26%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.23 +2.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.63 -1.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 119.0 +32.22%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +7.06%
  • NYSE Arms 1.41 +10.92% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.15 -.71%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,054.0 +.44%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.25 -3.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.11 -.61%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 74.80 -.37%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 330.19 +.82%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.54 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 32.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -24.25 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.91 -.44%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 143.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.74/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -11.30 +3.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.8 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.10 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.46 -3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.50 -.39
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +179 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -5 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/medical/biotech/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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