Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Stocks Finish Substantially Higher on Central Bank Hopes, Buyout Speculation, Short-Covering, Biotech/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.09 -9.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.48 +.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.47 -.66%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 54.87 -3.19%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 +6.74%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 +13.64%
  • NYSE Arms .38 -68.26
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 81.90 -1.34%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,242.0 +.69%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 69.17 -1.54%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.96 -.80%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.13 -2.63%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 317.35 -1.92%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 123.98 +.12%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 8.0 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 23.25 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -44.75 -2.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.59 +.09%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .12% unch.
  • Yield Curve 139.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $46.35/Metric Tonne +1.69%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -9.0 -6.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 25.0 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 1.4 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.59 +3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 2.92 +.13
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +326 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -50 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +78 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/retail/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added some back
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

No comments: