Thursday, November 19, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Earnings Outlook Fears, Rising US High-Yield Debt Angst, Oil Decline, Healthcare/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.09 +1.42%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.77 +.11%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.33 -1.62%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.45 +3.11%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 96.0 +3.23%
  • Total Put/Call .89 -11.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 +197.94% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 84.20 +2.59%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,252.0 +.95%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.50 +1.92%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.36 -3.01%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.44 -.80%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 314.94 -.61%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 124.0 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.75 -2.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.5 +1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -44.25 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.07 +.68%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .09% -3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 135.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $45.44/Metric Tonne -1.96%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.6 +.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 24.6 -.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 0.0 -1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.61 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 2.70 -.22
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +8 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -50 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my medical/biotech/retail sector longs and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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