Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Afternoon on Buyout Speculation, Oil Bounce, Short-Covering, Commodity/Hospital Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.62 unch.
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136. 22 -.21%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.35 +.68%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.11 -1.84%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 -26.36%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 +3.88%
  • NYSE Arms .65 -49.70% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.66 +.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,314.0 -.56%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 70.47 +1.21%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 19.08 +.26%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 69.12 +1.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 316.75 +.61%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 124.34 +.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 5.75 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.0 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -49.0 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.97 +.36%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .16% +5.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 131.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $43.89/Metric Tonne -1.92%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -17.2 -4.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 35.40 +2.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.80 +.3 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.64 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 2.05 -.45
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -29 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -57 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +15 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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