Friday, March 17, 2017

Stocks Modestly Higher into Afternoon on Less European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Earnings Optimism, Technical Buying, Restaurant/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.08 -4.55%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 126.48 -.72%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.99 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.56 -.54%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 76.0 -30.9%
  • Total Put/Call 1.03 +18.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.45 +14.17%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 61.26 -1.85%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 380.0 +.14%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 85.29 -.37%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 15.50 +8.92%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.44 -3.16%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 205.16 -1.59%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 135.91 +.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 34.0 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 42.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.0 -2.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.13 +.24%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .72% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 119.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $92.61/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 56.10 -1.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 48.10 -.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 53.30 +1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.02 -1.0 basis point
  • 53.5% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 60.2% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -141 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +4 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +32 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my in my tech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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