Monday, March 13, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Buyout Speculation, Technical Buying, Gaming/Steel Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.45 -1.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 127.75 -.15%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.34 -.85%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 44.55 -3.09%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 57.0 -44.12%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +4.6%
  • NYSE Arms .91 -5.68%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.03 +1.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 385.0 +.29%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 86.95 +.83%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 14.52 -16.75%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.69 -1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 216.11 -.44%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 135.79 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 33.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.5 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.0 -1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 70.97 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .74% unch.
  • Yield Curve 123.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $88.26/Metric Tonne +1.78%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.50 -.5 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 51.40 -6.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 48.60 -2.9 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.02 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 3 meeting, 100.0% chance at June 14 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -49 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -2 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +4 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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