Friday, January 26, 2018

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Oil Gain, Technical Buying, Tech/Pharma Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.29 -2.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.99 -.22%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.20 -.49%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 32.57 -2.63%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 134.0 +16.52%
  • Total Put/Call .79 -1.25%
  • NYSE Arms .48 -55.54%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 45.38 -1.93%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 294.0 -.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 41.10 -2.08%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 137.75 +2.5 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 10.71 +1.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 113.30 -.38%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 146.43 -.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 18.50 unch.
  • TED Spread 35.75 +4.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -26.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 76.48 +.06%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.41% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 54.0 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 73.08 USD/Metric Tonne -.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 37.50 -4.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 56.40 -1.9 basis points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index .5 -.7 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.09 +3.0 basis points
  • 90.4% chance of Fed rate hike at March 21 meeting, 90.6% chance at May 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +90 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +61 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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