Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Stocks Reversing Substantially Lower into Final Hour on Coronavirus Fears, Global Recession Worries, Technical Selling, Tech/Financial Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 55.3 -3.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 123.21 -.35%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 12.4 -2.1%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 80.7 +3.1%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 56.0 -44.0 points
  • Total Put/Call 1.19 +8.2%
  • NYSE Arms .95 -21.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 111.34 +3.17%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,242.0 -8.45%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 117.92 -.42%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 199.5 +2.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 140.68 -2.5%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 340.50 -2.87%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 164.72 -.59%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 141.0 -8.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 43.5 +15.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 58.55 +.11%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .46 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 82.5 USD/Metric Tonne +1.37%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -2.9 -1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -50.20 -8.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.6 +18.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread .87 -8.0 basis points
  • n/a chance of no change at April 29th meeting, n/a chance of no change at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -62 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -112 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -141 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my consumer staple/tech/biotech/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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