Thursday, February 25, 2021

Friday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -2.25% to -1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 60.25 +3.5 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 31.75 +2.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.96 -.13%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 2,497.0 -66.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 26.7 -5.6%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -1.0%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.11%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures-.26%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (CRI)/2.73
  • (DKNG)/-.49
  • (FLR)/.21
  • (FL)/1.35
  • (SSP)/.87
  • (STRA)/1.50
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Advance Goods Trade Balance for Jan. is estimated to widen to -$83.0B versus -$82.5B in Dec.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.3% gain in Dec.
  • Retail Inventories MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +1.0% gain in Dec. 
  • Personal Income for Jan. is estimated to rise +9.5% versus a +.6% gain in Dec.
  • Personal Spending for Jan. is estimated to rise +2.5% versus a -.2% decline in Dec.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a +.3% gain in Dec.
9:45 am EST
  • The MNI Chicago PMI for Feb. is estimated to fall to 61.0 versus 63.8 in Jan.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Senate Intel Hearing on SolarWinds hack and the Eurozone Import Price report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly lower and to maintain losses into the afternoon. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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