Monday, February 08, 2021

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Stimulus Hopes, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Energy/Homebuilding Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.6 +3.6%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,368.0 +6.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 131.16 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.91 -.50%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.75 +.74%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 153.0 +42.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .64 -13.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.21 +24.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.22 -1.50%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 508.36 -.88%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.68 -.03%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 95.25 -3.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 57.87 -1.67%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 156.88 +.51%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 185.30 -.13%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.75 +.75 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  63.75 +1.0 basis point
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 75.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.63 +.08%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 108.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 155.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.7%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 72.10 +.9 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 142.7 -3.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 64.40 -1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20 +1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +77 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -97 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -8 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my energy/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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