Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Stocks Finish Mostly Higher on Stable Long-Term Rates, Dovish Fed Commentary, Oil Gain, Energy/Gaming Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 22.9 -2.24%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 2,7649.0 +76.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 132.29 +.11%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.97 -.5%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.3 -1.89%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 -28.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .77 +13.2%
  • NYSE Arms .68 -4.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.61 -1.5%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 485.66 +.12%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 60.65 +1.97%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 96.0 +2.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 58.35 +1.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 171.45 -2.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 186.12 +.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 9.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 15.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.25 +.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  82.75 +1.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 75.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 62.73 +.05%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% unch.
  • Yield Curve 128.0 unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 169.5 USD/Metric Tonne -1.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 75.7 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 153.6 -2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 62.1 -1.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of no change at April 28th meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at June 16th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -161 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -53 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +30 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my energy/industrial/medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging market shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

No comments: