Tuesday, March 30, 2021

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 63.75 +.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 34.75 +.5 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 59.71 +.03%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,032.0 +32.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 21.15 +.56%.
  • FTSE 100 futures -.09%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.07%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (AYI)/1.71
  • (CONN)/.24
  • (WBA)/1.12
After the Close:
  • (PLAY)/-1.25
  • (GES)/.56
  • (MU)/.93
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for March is estimated to rise to 550K versus 117K in Feb.
9:45 am EST
  • The MNI Chicago PMI for March is estimated to rise to 61.0 versus 59.5 in Feb.
10:00 am EST
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for Feb. is estimated to fall -3.0% versus a -2.8% decline in Jan.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -928,820 barrels versus a +1,912,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +413,820 barrels versus a +204,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +789,090 barrels versus a +3,806,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +1.42% versus a +5.5% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • (SHW) 3-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The German Unemployment Rate, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the (KR) investor update could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

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