Friday, June 04, 2021

Stocks Surging into Afternoon on Diminished Fed Taper Fears, Economic Optimism, Dollar Weakness, Tech/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:

  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.3 -9.4%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,535.0 +72.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.69 -.41%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.0 -.6%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.9 -1.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0  -38.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .85 +28.8%
  • NYSE Arms .99 +4.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 50.22 -1.1%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 421.23 +.58%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.73 -.98%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 109.0 +1.0 basis point
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.76 -2.87%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 157.33 -2.1%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.11 -.36%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 7.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 11.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 +.5 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  66.0 +1.25 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 73.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.72 +.60%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 146.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 200.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.5 -2.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 146.0 -6.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 59.60 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.42 -3.0 basis points
  • 93.0% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting, 93.0% chance of no change at Nov. 3rd meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +203 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -1 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/industrial/biotech/commodity/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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