Monday, June 14, 2021

Tuesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 82.75 unch.
  • China Sovereign CDS 35.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.63 -.01%.
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 3,345.0 -11.0 points.
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 18.95 -.66%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.23%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.13%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.16%. 
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • None of note
After the Close:
  • (HRB)/5.06
  • (LZB)/.74
  • (MANU)/.01
  • (ORCL)/1.33
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Retail Sales Advance MoM for May is estimated to fall -.7% versus unch. in April.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM for May is estimated to rise +.4% versus a -.8% decline in April.
  • Retail Sales Ex Autos and Gas for May is estimated unch. versus a -.8% decline in April.
  • Empire Manufacturing for June is estimated to fall to 22.5 versus 24.3 in May.
  • PPI Final Demand MoM for May is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.6% gain in April.
  • PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for May is estimated to rise +.5% versus a +.7% gain in April.
9:15 am EST
  • Capacity Utilization for May is estimated to rise to 75.1% versus 74.9% in April.
  • Industrial Production MoM for May is estimated to rise +.7% versus a +.7% gain in April. 
  • Manufacturing Production for May is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +.4% gain in April.
10:00 am EST
  • Business Inventories for April are estimated to fall -.1% versus a +.3% gain in March.
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for June is estimated at 83 versus 83 in May.
4:00 pm EST
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows for April.
Upcoming Splits
  • (TTD) 10-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Retail Sales report, weekly US retail sales reports, 20Y T-Bond auction, Oppenheimer Consumer Growth/E-Commerce Conference and the (HUM) investor day could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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