S&P 500 4,210.9 +.49% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 33,100.8 -.96%
- NASDAQ 12,983.3 +2.6%
- Russell 2000 1,774.19 +.05%
- NYSE FANG+ 7,152.2 +6.1%
- Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 30.3 -1.8%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 138.19 +.73%
- Wilshire 5000 41,887.3 +.38%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,610.2 +1.9%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,473.9 -1.2%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 764.8 -3.2%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,161.8 +2.1%
- NYSE Technology 3,452.4 +4.9%
- Transports 13,913.0 +.06%
- Utilities 892.1 -2.5%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 80.25 -.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.2 +.2%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,469.9 -.24%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 923.07 -.05%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 449,281 -.96%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.5 +34.9%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -324 -490
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -22.8 +5.6%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 191,469 -11.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,856,570 -1.55%
- Total Put/Call .84 -8.8%
- OEX Put/Call 1.85 +18.2%
- ISE Sentiment 126.0 +18.0 points
- NYSE Arms .76 -29.0%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 59.5 +2.94%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.09 -12.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -4.63 -9.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 18.0 +6.5%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.12% +17.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 26.0 -14.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.56 +2.64%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 9.60 +1.1%
- Smart Money Flow Index 13,316.43 -3.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 65.5 +6.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.388 Trillion +.87%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$10.406 Million
- AAII % Bulls 27.4 +19.7%
- AAII % Bears 39.7 unch.
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 258.49 -1.39%
- Crude Oil 72.77/bbl. +1.4%
- Reformulated Gasoline 269.3 +4.4%
- Natural Gas 2.18 -15.9%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 24.5 euros/megawatt-hour -18.4%
- Heating Oil 236.8 -.05%
- Newcastle Coal 140.5 (1,000/metric ton) -8.8%
- Gold 1,945.96 -1.6%
- Silver 23.3 -2.4%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 405.3 -3.0%
- Copper 367.35 -1.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 379.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.26%
- China Iron Ore Spot 101.5 USD/Metric Tonne -.7
%
- CME Lumber 486.0 -3.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,533.60 +.96%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 395.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +1.9% -99.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 37.8% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.17 +60.3%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 131.3 n/a
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(485 of 500 reporting) -3.0% -.2 percentage point
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 228.98 +.73: Growth
Rate +2.4% +.1 percentage point, P/E 18.1 -.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.24% +2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) -2.7% -.6 percentage point
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 200.31 +.57: Growth Rate +31.6% +2.6 percentage points, P/E 34.5 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 22.0 +16.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -46.7 -19.2 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.6 -4.9 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-0.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 4.75-5.0%, 35.8%(-46.8 percentage points) chance of no
change, 64.2%(+46.8 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.25-5.50% on 6/14
- US Dollar Index 104.2 +.97%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,676.01 -.29%
- Bitcoin/USD 26,737.1 -.40%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 158.3 +1.3%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -76.5 -18.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.80% +12.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.400 Trillion -.24%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $7.076 Billion -23.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 55.0 -.28%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 178.8 -2.4%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 186.0 +2.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.3 +14.6%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 69.0 -.4%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 210.85 -3.0%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 65.2 +4.4%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.1 -3.1%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.6 -1.02%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.3% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +5.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +7.6% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +5.2% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +4.71% +6.0 basis points: CPI YoY +4.12% -1.0 basis point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.26% +1.0 basis point
- TED Spread 23.5 +10.25 basis points
- 2-Year Swap Spread 19.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 -4.75 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 75.9 -4.5%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 246.0 -4.96%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 420.0 -18.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 92.5 -3.5%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 324.8 +.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 249.9 -2.9%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 193.0 +20.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 718.0 +2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .91 -3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -4.6% -50.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,127.2 -1.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 231,750 -5.1%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 49.5 +.55%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.15% +16.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 205,000 -4.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +1.5% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -3.0% -15.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $158.0M -10.3%
- Nationwide Gas $3.57/gallon +.03/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,215 -12.2%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 938.74 -.79%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.5 -7.1%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 54.4 +29.6%
- Rail Freight Carloads 245,601 +1.99%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,658,057 +20.1%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +1.7%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value -1.6%
Leading Sectors
- Disk Drives +12.2%
- Semis +10.2%
- Computer Hardware +5.7%
- Networking +5.1%
- Cyber Security +4.0%
Lagging Sectors
- Homebuilders -3.6%
- Restaurants -3.9%
- Medical Equipment -4.8%
- Gold & Silver -4.9%
- Gambling -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (41)
- MRVL,
ITOS, RCUS, RNG, COHR, CRDO, LGF/A, AI, MOD, VICR, LITE, WDAY, AVGO,
PATH, WCC, SMCI, ANET, CGEM, MPWR, BAH, DLR, ENTG, F, AMBA, ZNTL, VRT,
PLTR, SGH, MU, ADBE, PLAB, TDC, DECK, COST, COHU, RMBS, SNCY, VMW, BASE
and APH
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (13)
- BTAI, RH, MLTX, ES, ARCH, AMLX, NEWR, LNTH, HIBB, DOMO, ULTA, PAGS and DLO
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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