S&P 500 5,236.6 +2.4% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 39,591.1 +2.3%
- NASDAQ 16,431.1 +3.0%
- Russell 2000 2,074.4 +1.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,104.6 +4.4%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 437.4 -.5%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 164.7 +2.4%
- Wilshire 5000 52,127.8 +2.5%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,412.3 +2.9%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,735.2 +1.8%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 807.4 +1.0%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 143.1 +1.5%
- NYSE Technology 4,839.4 +3.6%
- Transports 16,005.6 +3.3%
- Utilities 858.6 +1.0%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 100.6 +2.0%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 40.9 +.36%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 207.6 +1.9%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 109.1 +.03%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 496,339 +1.2%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.5 +46.2%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,800 +1,703
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -30.6 -2.6%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 233,788 -2.0%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,718,985 +4.7%
- Total Put/Call 1.33 +80.0%
- OEX Put/Call 2.34 +37.8%
- ISE Sentiment 128.0 -5.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.54 +59.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 68.6 +.7%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.19 +4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.02 -4.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.8 -11.6%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .71 -11.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 11.9 -13.4%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.96 +5.8%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.90 +12.4%
- Smart Money Flow Index 16,137.0 +1.2%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 93.2 -11.6
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.047 Trillion -1.0%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$35.238 Million
- AAII % Bulls 43.2 -5.9%
- AAII % Bears 27.2 +24.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 72.0 (Greed) +2.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 285.76 +.68%
- Crude Oil 80.7/bbl. -.44%
- Reformulated Gasoline 273.70 +1.1%
- Natural Gas 1.65 -.24%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 27.8 euros/megawatt-hour +1.7%
- Heating Oil 265.7 -2.6%
- Newcastle Coal 124.6 (1,000/metric ton) -3.8%
- Gold 2,162.8 +.3%
- Silver 24.68 -2.0%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 425.7 -.9%
- Copper 400.7 -2.7%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 382.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.8%
- China Iron Ore Spot 108.6 USD/Metric Tonne +4.4
%
- CME Lumber 610.50 +1.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,503.8 +1.2%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 312.50 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.1% -.2 percentage point
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 28.9% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.88 +17.5%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 82.6 -25.7%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(12 of 500 reporting) +40.7% n/a
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 249.49 +1.04: Growth
Rate +11.8% +.5 percentage point, P/E 21.0 +.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.83% +1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 310.75 -6.06: Growth Rate +29.3% -2.6 percentage points, P/E 32.5 +1.5
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 31.6 +7.0 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 46.7 -4.4 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 18.2 -2.4 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 12.4%(+6.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 87.6%(-6.0 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 5/1
- US Dollar Index 104.5 +1.0%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,732.1 -.06%
- Bitcoin/USD 63,804.5 -6.5%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 177.5 +.9%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -38.0 +4.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.22% -8.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.478 Trillion -.36%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.172 Billion -7.3%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $150.183 Billion -10.3%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.7 +2.7%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 187.6 +1.1%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 +6.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.8 +3.1%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 68.8 +1.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 135.6 +9.1%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 120.9 +4.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.6 +7.8%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 +.2%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 89.84 +.53%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.6% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.5% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.5% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.78% unch.: CPI YoY +3.37% +4.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 4.08% +1.0 basis point
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 6.5 basis points -1.75 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -10.75 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.5 +1.0 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 52.1 +4.5%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 134.0 +.49%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 290.0 +28.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 64.97 +8.6%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 192.1 +6.6%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 168.6 +1.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 141.0 unch.
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 785.0 -25.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .62 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -2.0% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,329.1B +2.8%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 211,250 +1.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.6 -3.7%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.12% +3.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 198,200 -1.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.2% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% unch.
- Box Office Weekly Gross $172.4M +57.0%
- Nationwide Gas $3.53/gallon +.09/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,240.0 unch.
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,009.7/40 ft Box -4.8%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,244.8 -2.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 54.33 -.15%
- Rail Freight Carloads 255,010 -1.2%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,677,627 +11.4%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +2.9%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Leading Sectors
- Homebuilding +6.0%
- Disk Drives +4.9%
- Gambling +4.2%
- Banks +4.0%
- Construction +3.8%
Lagging Sectors
- REITs -.1%
- Telecom -.4%
- Gold & Silver -.7%
- Computer Services -.9%
- Shipping -.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (18)
- PHAT, WS, CDLX, HROW, YOU, ERJ, FDX, STVN, MYE, EH, URGN, AY, DBI, DFH, ATMU and AES
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (12)
- FIVE, PZZA, TMDX, ZGN, EPAM, NKE, ACIC, NMRA, AIR, BROS, LULU and TRML
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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