S&P 500 5,260.8 +.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 39,832.8 +.12%
- NASDAQ 16,396.8 +.01%
- Russell 2000 2,123.8 +1.2%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,021.9 -.3%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 449.3 +.3%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 168.89 +1.3%
- Wilshire 5000 52,484.4 +.5%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,399.47 -.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,767.3 +1.2%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 815.1 +.40%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 143.0-4.7%
- NYSE Technology 4,807.9 -.8%
- Transports 16,251.0 +1.4%
- Utilities 882.6 +2.7%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 101.7 +1.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 41.2 +.1%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 208.3 +.34%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 109.4 +.25%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 496,601 +.38%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.4 -1.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 913 -887
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -35.2 -14.8%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 277,757 +18.8%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,713,716 -.31%
- Total Put/Call 1.28 +40.8%
- OEX Put/Call 1.89 -12.2%
- ISE Sentiment 127.0 -1.0 point
- NYSE Arms .89 -24.4%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 67.2 -2.0%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.12 -7.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.0 -2.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.9 +1.0%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .33 -53.5%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 15.0 +26.0%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.6 +2.3%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.5 +.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 16,137.0 +1.2%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 103.9 +10.7
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.047 Trillionn/a
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$1.867 Million
- AAII % Bulls 50.0 +15.7%
- AAII % Bears 22.4 -17.7%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 70.0 (Greed) -2.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 286.76 +.07%
- Crude Oil 83.0/bbl. +2.7%
- Reformulated Gasoline 276.1 +1.3%
- Natural Gas 1.75 +3.3%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 27.3 euros/megawatt-hour +3.6%
- Heating Oil 261.6 -1.9%
- Newcastle Coal 131.1 (1,000/metric ton) +4.9%
- Gold 2,219.5 +1.9%
- Silver 24.81 +.57%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 419.4 -1.5%
- Copper 401.05 -1.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 385.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.5%
- China Iron Ore Spot 100.7 USD/Metric Tonne -6.7
%
- CME Lumber 585.5 -3.8%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,522.7 +.9%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 312.50 USD/Short Ton -.8%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.1% unch.
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 28.6% -.3 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.78 +20.3%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 44.0 -40.9%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(16 of 500 reporting) +43.6% +2.9 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 250.09 +.60: Growth
Rate +12.1% +.3 percentage point, P/E 21.0 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.84% +1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 311.60 +.85: Growth Rate +29.7% +.4 percentage points, P/E 32.2 -.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 33.5 -2.9 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 42.8 -3.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 21.1 +2.9 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 7.1%(-4.6 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 92.9%(+4.6 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 5/1
- US Dollar Index 104.5 +.5%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,724.5 -.44%
- Bitcoin/USD 70,901.3 +9.1%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 177.4 -.66%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -42.5 -4.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.20% -2.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.478 Trillion n/a
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.172 Billion n/a
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $150.183 Billion n/a
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.6 +2.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 188.2 -.9%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 138.0 +6.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.2 -8.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.7 +4.9%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 137.4 +3.3%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 118.15 -1.5%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.2 +5.9%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 unch.
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 90.9 +1.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.6% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.5% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.5% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.78% unch.: CPI YoY +3.41% +4.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.96% -12.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 3.25 basis points -3.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -8.25 +2.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 -1.0 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.5 +1.2%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 125.0 -7.8%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 287.0 -3.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 63.1 +1.2%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 184.8 -1.3%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 168.5 +1.2%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 139.0 -2.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 785.0 unch.
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .61 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.7% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,329.1B n/a
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 211,000 -.35%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.3 +1.5%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.2% +8.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 196,800 -.71%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.4% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -5.0% -1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $126.8M -26.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.54/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,845.0 -17.6%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,929.0/40 ft Box -2.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,244.8 n/a
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 42.5 -10.5%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 56.1 +3.3%
- Rail Freight Carloads 255,316 +.12%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,456,768 -10.1%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +1.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -.5%
Leading Sectors
- Gold & Silver +5.2%
- Airlines +3.3%
- Alt Energy +2.7%
- Utilities +2.5%
- Homebuilders +2.5%
Lagging Sectors
- Shipping -.8%
- AI/Robotics -1.3%
- Software -1.7%
- Road & Rail -1.7%
- Electric Vehicles -2.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (34)
- CELC,
RH, HUT, ALT, SRRK, GH, TH, SA, VRNT, EL, INO, NVCR, FOXF, PRKS, MAG,
DV, EXAS, CRNX, EHC, ARHS, EC, MHO, CENX, TECK, MARA, VERX, SPRY, PAAS,
WBA, ETRN, EQT, LSEA and BIP
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (12)
- SNN, JEF, CXM, SHLS, MODV, CCL, GME, ATAT, CC, BRZE and MLKN
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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