| S&P 500 6,815.8 +3.6% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 47,925.5 +3.0%
- NASDAQ 22,902.6 +4.5%
- Russell 2000 2,630.9 +3.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 14,947.5 +5.8%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 263.0 +3.3%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 30.0 +3.3%
- Wilshire 5000 67,467.1 +3.4%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,487.7 +3.7%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,183.9 +3.0%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 930.9 +.4%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 252.2 +2.2%
- NYSE Technology 7,281.3 +6.3%
- Transports 20,260.9 +5.9%
- Utilities 1,187.2 +1.2%
- MSCI Europe Banks 115.5 +3.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 60.6 +6.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 250.0 +.14%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 130.6 -.6%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 605,506 +1.0%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 16.3 +8.4%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 411 +813
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -22.0 +8.8%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 213,488 -8.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,030,970 +1.4%
- Total Put/Call .79 -25.0%
- OEX Put/Call .60 -3.9%
- ISE Sentiment 123.0 +35.6%
- NYSE Arms 1.03 -5.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 110.2 +10.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .76 +36.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.24 -6.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 19.9 -16.5%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .54 -72.5%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 17.2 -29.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.3 -7.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.8 -6.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 19,410.3 +1.0%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 69.4 +.9
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.819 Trillion +.1%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.438 Million
- AAII % Bulls 35.7 +6.3%
- AAII % Bears 43.0 -16.3%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 38.0 (Moved to FEAR from EXTREME FEAR) +23.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 368.5 -.7%
- Crude Oil 96.0/bbl. -12.0%
- Reformulated Gasoline 301.5 -7.0%
- Natural Gas 2.65 -14.8%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 74.5 USD/Megawatt +.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 43.6 euros/megawatt-hour -8.2%
- Heating Oil 374.8 -16.2%
- Newcastle Coal 129.7 (1,000/metric ton) -8.2%
- Gold 4,765.1 +1.6%
- Silver 76.3 +4.1%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 173.7 +2.5%
- Copper 587.9 +7.3%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 411.0 USD/Metric Tonne +1.0%
- China Iron Ore Spot 103.6 USD/Metric Tonne -2.8
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 23,475.0 USD/metric tonne unch. - inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 64.7 -2.2%
- CME Lumber 579.5 -2.8%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,337.2 -2.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 312.5 USD/Short Ton +2.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 704.5 USD/Short Ton +2.2%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 Forecast +1.3% -.6 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 21.2 +1.4 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.7 -5.56%
- Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 275.3 -3.6%
- Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 unch.
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 94.0% -1.0 percentage point
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 339.5 -21.0%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .4 -.4
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(18 of 500 reporting) +81.3% -4.3 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 337.45 +1.40: Growth Rate +21.5% +.5 percentage point, P/E 20.2 +.6
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.05% -2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(1 of 10 reporting) +690.0% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 800.40 +5.85: Growth Rate +101.2% +1.5 percentage points, P/E 18.6 +.9
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 14.9 -13.1 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -20.4 -15.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 43.1 -4.3 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 98.4%(-.6 percentage point) chance of no change, 1.6%(+.6 percentage point) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 4/29
- US Dollar Index 98.70 -1.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,865.1 +1.2%
- Bitcoin/USD 72,915.0 +7.8%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 212.94 +1.7%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.65 -.39%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 51.25 -1.0 basis point
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.32% -11.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.64% -8.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.647 Trillion +.3%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $5.620 Billion +3.0%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.1 -7.0%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 196.0 -5.7%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 79.0 -17.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.9 -7.3%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.1 -11.9%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 127.1 -9.2%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 73.8 -6.3%
- Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 81.0 -12.5%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.4 -11.4%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.13 +1.0%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 113.60 +1.0%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.8% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% -40.0 basis points
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.1% +20.0 basis points
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.10% +27.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.58% +33.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 3.44 -156.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.38 +6.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 13.25 +7.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -17.5 +1.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -.75 +2.25 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 56.0 -8.1%
- BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 72.6 +1.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 109.0 -33.2%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 534.7 +.3%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 240.0 -51.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 63.7 -10.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 165.3 -11.4%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 112.0 -13.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 587.0 +1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 +1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.9% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,361.9B +2.1%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 209,500 +.7%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.6 unch.
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.52% +3.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 276,000 -.8%
- Weekly Retail Sales +6.8% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +19.0% -6.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $194.7M +.8%
- Nationwide Gas $4.15/gallon +.07/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,161.0 +6.5%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,308.8/40 ft Box +.9%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,209.8 +2.1%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 245.0 +22.5%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 136.3 -1.4%
- Rail Freight Carloads 272,085 -3.6%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,691,308 +18.4%
- US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 87.8 -.9 point
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 45.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth +4.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth +.8%
Leading Sectors
- Semis +14.0%
- AI/Innovation +11.1%
- Steel +6.3%
- Construction +6.1%
- Banks +5.9%
Lagging Sectors
- Education -3.1%
- Energy -5.1%
- Cyber Security -5.6%
- Computer Services -7.0%
- Software -7.4%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (33)
- ALOY, ALAB, SPIR, AAOI, CRWV, TTMI, CRDO, CVLT, VERA, MRLN, SMCI, COHR, NBIS, MRVL, CLS, TLX, LPTH, FN, WYFI, LI, KYIV, COHU, AMSC, IREN, AVGO, LGN, INFQ, STAA, PSIX, FLOC, AMD, HUT, APLD and CORZ
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (40)
- AON, MITK, TGLS, AXS, GWRE, CRWD, S, TWLO, DDOG, SEPN, PCOR, INTU, CDNS, LBRX, FIG, AVTX, ESTC, MNDY, QURE, ADPT, BRBR, RDWR, ZM, HUBS, NTRA, PANW, GH, BRZE, CLBT, KVYO, NOW, SIBN, SNOW, SMPL, DOCN, NET, SEZL, FICO, AKAM and FSLY
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*5-Day Change
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