| S&P 500 7,401.1 +2.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 49,564.5 +.2%
- NASDAQ 26,190.7 +4.3%
- Russell 2000 2,864.6 +1.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 17,245.7 +5.0%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 296.9 +2.9%
- Vaneck Social Sentiment 37.1 +8.2%
- Wilshire 5000 73,064.1 +2.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,976.2 +2.9%
- Russell 1000 Value 2,300.1 +1.3%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 952.5 +.1%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 258.13 +1.0%
- NYSE Technology 8,939.0 +7.2%
- Transports 20,203.8 -1.8%
- Utilities 1,117.5 -3.4%
- MSCI Europe Banks 117.9 +1.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 68.1 +6.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 254.6 -.3%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 132.9 +.3%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 613,891 +.24%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 14.4 +8.7%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,121 -3
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -19.8 +4.0%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 191,911 -.2%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,017,038 +1.6%
- Total Put/Call .75 +1.3%
- OEX Put/Call .13 -30.0%
- ISE Sentiment 146.0 -12.7%
- NYSE Arms 1.55 +9.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 117.6 +.7%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.06 +16.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.16 +11.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 17.5 +3.2%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .50 -15.6%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 13.4 -11.9%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.75 -4.4%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.0 -1.3%
- Smart Money Flow Index 19,928.7 -1.0%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 96.7 +2.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.749 Trillion +1.6%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$7.803 Million
- AAII % Bulls 38.3 +.5%
- AAII % Bears 33.0 -16.9%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 67.0 (GREED) unch.
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 387.72 -1.9%
- Crude Oil 95.10/bbl. -6.9%
- Reformulated Gasoline 351.4 -3.1%
- Natural Gas 2.75 -1.3%
- US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.2 USD/Megawatt -.9%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 43.9 euros/megawatt-hour -3.6%
- Heating Oil 388.4 -2.5%
- Newcastle Coal 135.2 (1,000/metric ton) -1.9%
- Gold 4,725.4 +2.4%
- Silver 80.6 +7.1%
- Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 181.1 +1.9%
- Copper 630.1 +5.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 413.0 USD/Metric Tonne +2.0%
- China Iron Ore Spot 110.4 USD/Metric Tonne +1.9
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 25,450.0 USD/metric tonne unch. - inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR4 16Gb 2048Mx8 58.0 -2.4%
- CME Lumber 580.5 -.9%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,418.2 +1.1%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 337.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
- US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 602.5 USD/Short Ton -6.1%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.7% +.2 percentage point
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 17.3 -.2 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.7 -8.8%
- Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 178.7 +5.9%
- Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 100.0 unch.
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 99.0% +4.0 percentage points
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 273.2 -74.4%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 1.0 +.4
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(443 of 500 reporting) +25.3% -3.1 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 352.67 +5.20: Growth Rate +27.3% +1.9 percentage points, P/E 20.8 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 15.38% +15.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +62.1% +.2 percentage point
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 851.66 +14.71: Growth Rate +115.1% +3.7 percentage points, P/E 19.8 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.7 +16.6 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -58.8 +12.0 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 49.6 +.7 point
- Fed Fund Futures imply 6.1%(-.6 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 93.9%(+.6 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 6/17
- US Dollar Index 97.88 -.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,885.3 +1.0%
- Bitcoin/USD 80,212.7 +1.6%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 210.4 +.3%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.75 unch.
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 46.75 -2.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.36% -2.0 basis points
- Japan 30-Year Yield 3.74% -1.0 basis point
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.662 Trillion +.2%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.439 Billion +6.4%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.2 +2.5%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 188.5 -2.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 72.0 -10.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 18.8 -4.8%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.8 -5.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 117.7 -6.5%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.5 -6.5%
- Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 77.6 -6.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.3 -11.0%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.23 +.5%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 113.61 +.6%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.7% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +1.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.28% unch.: CPI YoY +3.56% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.97 -27.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 -3.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 9.5 +8.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.25 +.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .75 +.75 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 53.0 -2.0%
- BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 75.9 -3.0%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 154.0 +47.9%
- High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 469.0 -4.2%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 227.0 +9.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 59.3 -3.1%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 155.2 -2.3%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 112.0 -2.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 579.0 -1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .51 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.6% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,430.3B +.5%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 203,250 -2.2%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.0 -.2%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.42% +7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 285,300 -4.4%
- Weekly Retail Sales +7.3% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +9.0% -5.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $200.7M +61.3%
- Nationwide Gas $4.55/gallon +.16/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 3,034.0 +13.0%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,285.6/40 ft Box +3.1%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,2.8 +.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 250.0 +4.2%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 125.0 -3.3%
- Rail Freight Carloads 283,724 +.7%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,701,890 +32.3%
- US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 89.7 -.1 point
- Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 42.0% -1.0 percentage point
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +2.8%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth +.8%
Leading Sectors
- Computer Hardware +15.3%
- Semis +10.6%
- Airlines +10.5%
- Cyber Security +9.1%
- Gold & Silver +8.5%
Lagging Sectors
- Medical Equipment -2.7%
- Restaurants -3.0%
- Utilities -3.4%
- Oil Service -3.9%
- Energy -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (108)
- INOD, FLNC, RKLB, VCX, MRAM, FROG, PTCT, AMN, DXYZ, MXL, AKAM, FLY, MBUU, LUNR, WSC, CALY, PGNY, RDW, ASYS, AD, GRPN, BKSY, SYNA, MNST, TXRH, NSIT, INTC, RVI, MRNA, NVAX, MBX, MU, VOYG, POET, CSIQ, DBX, QURE, AMBQ, PENG, SNDK, NAMS, DELL, WLDN, LASR, URGN, RKT, CVSA, ASTS, CPAY, KOP, GEN, AVPT, AMD, FCEL, TECX, XYZ, QUIK, QCOM, TILE, BILL, MAGN, VPG, OFRM, XIFR, CLPT, WRBY, PDFS, PRKS, GTX, AAON, FDUS, AXTI, LOGI, MKSI, WOLF, SANM, CLPT, AIP, GRND, JKS, FTNT, PUBM, FLEX, SNDA, STM, CEVA, MIRM, ROAD, MNR, GOLD, TPB, GFS, PRMB, CYTK, WMG, CYRX, RELY, RRX, ALB, SCSC, DRD, CON, SMCI, MIDD and SITM
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (58)
- MCK, GMAB, AFRM, COKE, KVYO, GLIBK, VCEL, VST, INSM, GCT, TTD, MAIN, TMDX, CELH, MDLN, WHR, QNST, BBUC, ZTS, ZLAB, GMED, AAOI, TXG, ICFI, G, SYM, PAHC, ESE, OMDA, AGO, LPTH, CAPR, NTRA, EMBJ, ONT, OSK, MSI, XNDU, CRNX, CRWV, VREX, MELI, FLR, PRAA, TNDM, TOST, ASIX, CAI, HRTG, REAL, HUBS, KODK, AMPH, NET, AORT, FIGS and TSSI
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*5-Day Change
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