Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 7,401.1 -2.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 51,417.3 -.6%

• NASDAQ 24,630.0 -3.1%

• Russell 2000 2,754.6 -2.0%

• NYSE FANG+ 16,895.0 -4.0%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 263.0 -5.4%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 31.2 -5.3%

• Wilshire 5000 72,909.1 -2.4%

• Russell 1000 Growth 4,508.9 -4.8%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,538.2 -.2%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 1,014.7 +1.2%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 257.4 -1.4% 
  

• NYSE Technology 8,068.9 -8.1%

• Transports 19,816.2 -2.4%

• Utilities 1,102.4 -.8%

• MSCI Europe Banks 126.1 +4.6%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 59.38 -2.6%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 260.5 -.02%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 136.2 -.06%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 612,174 -.3%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 15.7 +182.2%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -1,012 -941

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -10.2 +11.6%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 74,343 -16.8%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,886,280 +2.8%

• Total Put/Call .92 +1.1%

• OEX Put/Call .65 +72.0%

• Equity Put/Call .72 -13.3%

• NYSE Arms .99 +7.7%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 113.50 -9.2%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .30 -54.0 basis points
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .69 -42.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 24.9 +31.6%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing 1.01 +27.9%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 19.1 +25.3%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.40 -3.0%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.82 -.9%

• Smart Money Flow Index 17,013.9 -4.0%
• CFTC Weekly Equity Positioning Sentiment Gauge(0-100) 47.0 +2.0

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $8.016 Trillion +1.5%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$7.100 Million

• AAII % Bulls 34.1 -9.8%

• AAII % Bears 48.4 +16.9%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 26.0 (Moved to EXTREME FEAR from FEAR) -2.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 390.54 -5.1%

• Crude Oil 99.90/bbl. -12.5%

• Reformulated Gasoline 277.7 -11.4%

• Natural Gas 2.99 +4.8%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 90.6 USD/Megawatt +7.4% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 103.9 euros/megawatt-hour +10.2%
  

• Heating Oil 433.90 -10.4% 
• Newcastle Coal 141.1 (1,000/metric ton) -7.0%

• Gold 4,067.0 +5.0%
• Silver 52.0 +6.0%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 170.64 -1.5%

• Copper 626.5 -4.1%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 406.5 USD/Metric Tonne +1.5%

• China Iron Ore Spot 92.5 USD/Metric Tonne +1.8%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 14,975.0 USD/metric tonne unch.
• Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index .86(price per million tokens) -3.7% 
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 53.12 unch.

• CME Lumber 512.0 -1.1%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,444.6 -3.2%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 345.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 430.5 USD/Short Ton -1.0%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q4 Forecast +3.4% +20.0 basis points

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 14.3 +1.5 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 3.47 +17.6%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 97.7 -41.0% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 83.0 +14.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 45.0% unch.

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 168.2 -33.0%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .6 +.2
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(440 of 500 reporting) +27.0% -2.4 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 415.59 +2.19:  Growth Rate +26.8% +.9 percentage point, P/E 17.9 -.5
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 16.34% -6.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +34.9% -6.3 percentage points
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 1,103.91 +6.84: Growth Rate +64.4% +1.0 percentage point, P/E 15.1 -1.0

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 69.8 +17.4 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -1.0 -5.6 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 40.4 +4.7 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.5-3.75%, 20.9%(-8.4 percentage points) chance of no change, 79.1%(+8.4 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.0-4.25% on 12/9

• US Dollar Index 102.26 +.28%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,917.8 -.27%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 75,631 -2.5%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 202.7 +.4%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.13 +.9%

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 33.75 unch.

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.85% -8.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.84% -1.0 basis point

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.701 Trillion +.04%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $9.983 Billion +5.1%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.68 +.02%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 187.7 -3.6%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 107.0 -12.0 basis points
• France Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 90.60 -6.7% 
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.5 -1.8%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.9 -4.4%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 150.2 +3.1%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 57.0 -7.8%
• Saudi Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 70.1 -2.3%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 23.2 -3.6%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.48 unch.
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 115.76 +1.0%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.4% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.9% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.5% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +2.9% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.20% unch.: CPI YoY +3.74% unch.
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.00 -59.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.23 -11.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 19.75 +4.0 basis points
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.0 -.25 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.0 +.25 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.5 -1.0% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 69.7 +1.4%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 146.0 +47.7%
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 475.0 +.8% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 294.0 +23.0

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 70.7 -4.6%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 164.4 -3.0%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 120.0 -5.0 basis points
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 567.0 +9.0 basis points
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .53 unch.

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.7% unch.

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,503.3B +.3%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 194,750 -1.1%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.1% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 56.5 +.7%

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.30% -7.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 192,600 -1.2%

• Weekly Retail Sales +9.80% +20.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +7.0% -5.0 percentage points
• Box Office Weekly Gross $140.8M -1.3%

• Nationwide Gas $4.07/gallon -.14/gallon 
• Nationwide Diesel $6.23/gallon -.09/gallon 

• Baltic Dry Index 2,740.0 +1.0%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,389.0/40 ft Box -.9%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,924.7 +2.3%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 400.0 -20.0%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 97.8 +8.7%

• Rail Freight Carloads 280,264 -7.7%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,610,670 +54.8% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 86.4 +.1 point
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 42.0% +1.0 percentage point

Best Performing Style

• Large-Cap Value -.2%

Worst Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth -6.3%

Leading Sectors

• Gold & Silver +11.8%

• Airlines +9.1%
• Medical Equipment +6.7%

• Video Gaming +6.4%
  

• Social Media +5.0%
  

Lagging Sectors

• Shipping -11.0%

• Oil Service -11.5%
  

• Energy -12.8%

• Computer Hardware -14.3%
  

• AI/Innovation -14.4%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (95)

• FROG, KRMN, FLY, LASR, TMDX, QNT, LYNX, FLGT, CYRX, ETON, CGON, SLVM, LEU, IONQ, RGTI, EWTX, DNA, PPTA, EXTR, ZLAB, STEP, XERS, ADUR, AEVA, RIOT, COMP, LION, HSAI, PVLA, ARDT, TRUP, APP, ONT, ELAN, BETA, ONT, BKSY, ATEN, SPHR, ZVRA, RVMD, ACHC, ELF, U, GRDN, OUST, TPC, FOXF, HYMC, PAR, WSC, CSIQ, SKM, IMVT, JKS, REF, FNF, SARO, XPEV, RCEL, WYNN, ROIV, PCTY, ONC, ARHS, HUM, AAUC, IAG, JAN, STGW, TECX, ODTX, BILL, AU, IBN, ITT, LI, SG, MAT, ICUI, BIP, AERO, BIPC, AMPH, NVRI, KT, VCEL, VNT, BEN and PH 

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (74)

• PAGP, MDGL, BTI, FIGS, PAA, CPT, CVSA, BSM, HUBS, ROCK, LYV, PBH, SFM, AFRM, DOX, APEI, CVI, FRNM, SLDE, SAP, HURN, LMND, CAVA, LOPE, URGN, DNOW, LTGO, LYTS, ARQT, CSV, OUT, MH, CRSR, ARQT, KE, AMSC, CAI, ROOT, CSTL, INOD, ZD, INGR, CLMT, SCSC, PNTG, TNDM, STRA, WLDN, GMED, RIGL, ASTH, REAX, MCHP, NTRA, NMIH, TILE, TEAM, WK, FIVN, ARLO, OMDA, AXON, HLIO, BL, AORT, AMN, DKNG, KRUS, IRTC, IRTC and PRAA

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change