Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Thursday, April 26, 2007
Links of Interest
Detailed Market Summary
Quick Summary
Economic Commentary
Movers & Shakers
Today in IBD
NYSE OrderTrac
I-Watch Sector Overview
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
DJIA Quick Charts
Chart Toppers
Option Dragon
Intraday Chart/Quote
Wednesday, April 25, 2007
***Alert***
Thursday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
-
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- Apple Inc.(AAPL) said second-quarter profit rose 88% after demand soared for its iPod media players and Macintosh computers. The company’s shares surged 6.3% in extended trading.
- Congress can limit violent television programming without violating the free-speech rights of broadcasters, according to an FCC report.
- The House of Representatives approved a war spending bill tonight that requires US troops to withdraw from
Dow Jones:
- The International Monetary Fund is more closely monitoring the impact of yen carry trades on markets in developing countries and may raise the issue in annual talks with some countries.
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
HSBC:
- Rated (URBN), (ANN), (ANF) Overweight.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are +.50% to +.75% on average.
S&P 500 indicated +.03%.
NASDAQ 100 indicated +.38%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Before the Bell CNBC Video(bottom right)
Global Commentary
Asian Indices
European Indices
Top 20 Business Stories
In Play
Bond Ticker
Conference Calendar
Daily Stock Events
Macro Calls
Rasmussen Consumer/Investor Daily Indices
CNBC Guest Schedule
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (MMM)/1.11
- (AET)/.77
- (DOX)/.50
- (AMT)/.06
- (APA)/1.60
- (APPB)/.33
- (AN)/.40
- (AVID)/.20
- (BIDU)/.37
- (BZH)/.12
- (BYD)/.53
- (BMY)/.23
- (BRCM)/.27
- (CAH)/.91
- (CCU)/.15
- (CMCSA)/.17
- (CFC)/.79
- (DECK)/.51
- (DO)/1.47
- (DRIV)/.53
- (DOW)/1.00
- (XOM)/1.52
- (FII)/.50
- (FLEX)/.19
- (F)/-.60
- (FO)/.86
- (HAL)/.52
- (IMCL)/.32
- (IM)/.39
- (KLAC)/.78
- (LVLT)/-.22
- (MBI)/1.47
- (MFE)/.33
- (MDC)/-.24
- (WFR)/.69
- (MCHP)/.34
- (MSFT)/.46
- (MNST)/.34
- (NEM)/.24
- (NYX)/.50
- (ODP)/.59
- (SNDK)/.17
- (SOHU)/.17
- (HOT)/.38
- (TDW)/1.46
- (VLO)/1.82
- (WDC)/.47
- (XMSR)/-.39
- (ZOLL)/.14
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 330K versus 339K the prior week.
- Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 2523K versus 2531K prior.
DJIA Soars to Another Record, Surpassing 13,000 on Positive Earnings and Economic Data
DJIA Surging Past 13,000, Hitting Another Record High, on Strong Earnings and Economic Reports
BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is higher into the final hour on gains in my Telecom longs, Computer longs and Medical longs. I added to my Google(GOOG) long and to an existing short today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is positive as the advance/decline line is higher, sector performance is mostly positive and volume is heavy. I continue to believe that Google is egregiously undervalued at current levels relative to the broad market and its Internet peers. I am shocked that I am able to buy the shares again at current levels after GOOG's recent report. I still expect GOOG to exceed $600 this year on multiple expansion and better-than-expected earnings. The stock remains my largest long position. Yesterday after the close, Bloomberg reported that Nasdaq short interest surged 1.7% to 8,010,000,000 shares, from mid-March through mid-April, hitting another all-time high. Moreover, like the NYSE, the last two months has seen Nasdaq short interest soar 13.8%, the largest two-month percentage increase since at least 1991. Here are the 20 Nasdaq stocks with the largest percentage increase in their short interest relative to their float from mid-March through mid-April:
1) USNA +32.9%
2) HCBK +25.5%
3) HINT +23.4%
4) HLYS +19.1%
5) HERO +18.7%
6) ASTI +18.0%
7) DVSA +15.9%
8) DHOM +14.2%
9) CLWT +13.7%
10) CONN +9.4%
11) BLDR +9.0%
12) NRMX +8.4%
14) PONR +8.0%
15) CBRL +7.5%
16) DAKT +6.8%
17) PRAA +6.5%
18) LHCG +6.5%
19) NUVO +6.4%
20) TECUA +6.2%
Here are the 20 S&P 500 stocks with the largest percentage increase in their short interest relative to their float from mid-March through mid-April:
1) WEN +13.0%
2) KBH +6.9%
3) HAL +5.4%
4) MOT +4.3%
5) BEN +4.0%
6) CTX +3.5%
7) JNY +3.1%
8) DHI +2.8%
9) CIEN +2.8%
10) X +2.7%
11) ED +2.5%
12) RSH +2.5%
13) MCO +2.4%
14) CHK +2.4%
15) STZ +2.4%
16) CC +2.2%
17) HRB +2.1%
18) AVB +2.0%
19) MTG +1.7%
20) MAS +1.7%