Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Wednesday, July 01, 2009
Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Lower Energy Prices, Stable Long-Term Rates
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- President Barack Obama’s $12.8 trillion commitment to stimulate credit markets will ensure economic recovery in the US outpaces Europe’s “anemic” revival, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.(GS). A profit can be made from buying credit-default swaps on the Markit iTraxx Europe Index of 125 investment-grade companies and selling default protection on the Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index, said Alberto Gallo, a credit strategist at Goldman. “US credit will outperform as Europe faces a deeper recession and more anemic recovery,” NY-based Gallo said.
Wall Street Journal:
NY Times:
- Bank Woes Deepening in Europe.
NY Post:
AppleInsider:
Washington Times:
DigiTimes:
Lusa:
Bear Radar
Style Underperformer:
Mid-cap Growth (+.42%)
Sector Underperformers:
Education (-2.08%), Biotech (-.47%) and Banks (-.25%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
ADY, FSLR, MAR, HOT, MYGN, ACOR, LEAP, CBST, BOOM and ALXN
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) USU 2) KFT 3) SLM 4) OSK 5) NDAQ
Bull Radar
Style Outperformer:
Small-cap Value (+2.53%)
Sector Outperformers:
Airlines (+3.05%), Networking (+2.64%) and Restaurants (+2.44%)
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
AIG, BLKB, KTC, FCX, BBL, E, PTR, IBKC, AMAG, FELE, FUQI, PRAA, SCHN, VECO, PWRD, RDEA, STEC, WERN, PLCE, CRMT, BIIB, CYOU, ADTN, HURN, ZRAN, CENT, UFCS, TPL, SNX, OSK, EVY, LNN, UNF, SNY, SWM, DTG, WHI, STZ, AXE, FCN and GIS
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
1) KLAC 2) NVLS 3) SLE 4) OSK 5) UTX
Links of Interest
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories
IBD Breaking News
Movers & Shakers
Upgrades/Downgrades
In Play
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
Option Dragon
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
Chart Toppers
Real-Time Intraday Quote/Chart
HFR Global Hedge Fund Indices
Tuesday, June 30, 2009
Wednesday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
Wall Street Journal:
NY Times:
IBD:
Politico:
Rasmussen:
CommonDreams.Org:
TheDeal.com:
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Reiterated Buy on (GLW), target $20.50.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index unch..
S&P 500 futures -.03%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.03%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
Top 25 Stories
Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- (STZ)/.32
- (GIS)/.81
- (NS)/.98
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
- The ADP Employment Change for June is estimated to shrink to -395K versus -532K in May.
10:00 am EST
- ISM Manufacturing for June is estimated to rise to 44.6 versus 42.8 in May.
- ISM Prices Paid for June is estimated to rise to 47.0 versus 43.5 in May.
- Construction Spending for May is estimated to fall .6% versus a .8% gain April.
- Pending Home Sales for May are estimated unch. versus a 6.7% gain in April.
10:30 am EST
- Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,000,000 barrels versus a -3,868,000 barrel decrease the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +2,000,000 barrels versus a +3,871,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are expected to rise by +1,500,000 barrels versus a +2,077,000 barrel increase the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.05% versus a +1.16% gain the prior week.
Afternoon:
- Total Vehicle Sales for June are estimated at 9.8M versus 9.9M in May.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Evans speaking, weekly MBA mortgage applications report and the Challenger Job Cuts report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by insurance and commodity shares in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly lower and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.