Style Underperformer:
- Large-Cap Value +.7%
- 1) Gold & Silver -.6% 2) Energy -.2% 3) Healthcare Providers +.2%
- RETA, BCYC, SYNG, ZGN, ZIM, AI and FIS
- 1) KKR 2) EMB 3) EBAY 4) LQD 5) TJX
- 1) SRNE 2) AVYA 3) AXSM 4) SRDX 5) NSC
Monday, February 13, 2023
Bear Radar
Bull Radar
Style Outperformer:
- Large-Cap Growth +1.5%
Sector Outperformers:
- Internet +2.4% 2) Software +2.2% 3) Retail +2.1%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
- FSLY, TDC, AYX, MORF, BANC, NSSC, PCOR, LPG and TWLO
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
- 1) QTRX 2) CROX 3) SRNE 4) MNKD 5) FANG
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
- 1) FSLY 2) OCUL 3) LUXH 4) RHCO 5) ZG
Tomorrow's Earnings/Economic Releases of Note; Potential Market Movers
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
- (CLF)/-.31
- (KO)/.45
- (EXC)/.43
- (LDOS)/1.61
- (MAR)/1.82
- (BTU)/1.93
- (PKI)/1.66
- (WEBR)/.07
- (ZTS)/1.16
After the Close:
- (ABNB)/.33
- (AKAM)/1.26
- (ANDE)/.49
- (CRSP)/-2.27
- (DVN)/1.76
- (HLF)/.34
- (LTHM)/.37
- (SU)/1.79
- (TRIP)/.04
- (UPST)/-.47
Economic Releases
6:00 am EST
- The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for Jan. is estimated to rise to 91.0 versus 89.8 in Dec.
- The CPI MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.5% versus a -.1% decline in Dec.
- The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for Jan. is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +.3% gain in Dec.
- The CPI YoY for Jan. is estimated to rise +6.2% versus a +6.5% gain in Dec.
- Real Avg. Weekly Earnings YoY for Jan.
- PPI Revisions
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
- The Eurozone GDP report, weekly US retail sales reports, BofA Financials Conference, BofA Insurance Conference and the (APTV) investor conference could also impact global trading tomorrow.
- 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
Mid-Day Market Internals
NYSE Composite Index:
- Volume Running -23.6% Below 100-Day Average
- 1 Sector Declining, 10 Sectors Rising
- 74.0% of Issues Advancing, 23.2% Declining
- 63 New 52-Week Highs, 10 New Lows
- 60.2%(+2.8%) of Issues Above 200-day Moving Average
- Average 14-Day RSI 58.0 +6.0
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 61.3 +1.5%
- Russell 1000: Growth/Value 14,483.1 -.8%
- Vix 20.6 +.4%
- Total Put/Call .87 -15.5%
- TRIN/Arms .93 +16.3%
Sunday, February 12, 2023
Monday Watch
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- US Fighters Down More Objects as Tension Ratchets Higher.
- US Fighter Jet Downs Fourth Aerial Object Over North America.
- White House Says Too Early to Describe Latest Two Downed Objects.
- Schumer Says Banning TikTok in the US ‘Should Be Looked At’.
- The US ‘Domain Awareness Gap’ Goes Way Beyond Balloons.
- France Touts Work From Home in Bid to End Pension Reform Impasse.
- Scholz’s SPD Crashes to Worst Result Ever in Berlin Election.
- Iranian President to Visit China This Week on Xi’s Invite.
- The Devaluation Run in Emerging Markets Is Just Getting Started.
- Israel President Warns of ‘Constitutional and Social Collapse’
- Quake Latest: Turkey’s Economic Toll Could Reach $84 Billion.
- Ukraine Latest: G-7 Foreign Ministers Plan to Meet in Munich.
- Asia Stocks Face Soft Open After Wall Street Slump: Markets Wrap.
- OPEC Chief Tells Climate Negotiators to ‘Look at the Big Picture’.
- It’s Too Soon for Stock Investors to Call Victory on Inflation.
- US Consumer Prices May Show Fed Has More Work to Do.
- Memes, Tweets, Snark Are the FDA’s New Public Health Weapons.
- Meta Delays Setting Teams’ Budgets With Job Cuts Planned: FT.
- Your Sunday Briefing: Super Bowl Kickoff; Aerial Takedowns.
Wall Street Journal:
- Investors Flee U.S. Stock Funds.
- Blackstone’s Big New Idea Leaves It Bruised.
- U.S. Begins Allowing Medicaid Money to Be Spent on Food.
- The Fight to Define Green Hydrogen, With Billions of Dollars at Stake.
- Biden Appears Set to Run in 2024, but Voters Have Doubts.
- Aid Arrives in Turkey After Earthquakes but Anger Grows.
- Here Comes the 60-Year Career.
- A Rising Generation of Republicans of Color. Two of the GOP’s freshmen in Congress tell their political stories and explain why Democrats can’t take black and Hispanic voters for granted.
- It's not just Republicans demanding 'transparency' from Biden after 4th unidentified object shot down.
- Border Patrol apprehensions of Chinese nationals at southern border up 800%: source.
- US offers first description of unknown 'object' shot down over Canada as origin is yet to be revealed.
- Liberals flip after Jordan says 'only Americans' should vote in US elections.
CNBC:
- Here’s where the jobs will be during the rolling recessions.
- Here’s how much Americans plan to spend on the Super Bowl this year.
- Fast food reigns supreme as inflation weighs on pricier restaurants.
Zero Hedge:
- 'Octagonal' Object Shot Down Over Lake Huron.
- Watch: Former Twitter Execs Squirm During Grilling By House Reps About Censorship Of COVID Data.
- Watch: Mother Reads Shocking Porn Content From Books Given To Kids In NY Schools.
- LA Times' Risible Attack On Oil Profits.
- Weekend News Round Up - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open.
- US Military Recovery Of Unidentified Object Downed Over Alaska Faces Severe Conditions.
- Seattle Joins Long List Of Democrat Controlled Cities With Exploding Crime Rates.
- Now China Claims It's Tracking Unidentified Object Over Port City.
- Go Woke, Get Broken: ChatGPT Tricked Out Of Far-Left Bias By Alter Ego "DAN".
- "This Set Up Is About As Bad As It Gets For The Fed... But Right Now, It Still Feels Good".
- Morgan Stanley: "Our Strategists Have Rethought Their Market Calls And Make Three Key Tactical Changes".
- Pento: Four Reasons Why The January Rally Will Falter.
- TME weekend: Maxed out positioning vs Economic trough.
- Disney Officially Loses Control Of Reedy Creek Development In Landslide Florida Senate Vote.
- Turkey Arrests 130 Building Contractors As Earthquake Deaths Surpass 28,000.
- What Crappy Beer Demand Tells Us About The Economy.
- Fiery UK Anti-Refugee Protest Erupts After Minor Girl Records Adult Migrant's Proposition.
- Lockdown Blamed As Knife Deaths In England And Wales Reaches Record Level.
- Mapping Europe's Biggest Sources Of Electricity By Country.
- Germany: 'Last Generation' Climate Protesters Miss Court Date Because They Flew To Bali.
- Censorship Operations: COVID, War, And More...
- Japan's Government Adopts Nuclear Energy Policy In Major Turnaround Amid Energy Crisis.
- Biden Administration Ready To Unleash A $27 Billion Green Slush Fund.
- Rep. Chip Roy To Roll Out Bill Aimed At Cutting Manufacturing Reliance On China.
MarketWatch.com:
NewsMax:
TheGatewayPundit.com:
- High Food Inflation for 2023 Forecast by USDA.
- Brad Thayer Joins Rose Unplugged: China’s Balloons Had Many Messages For Us; If We Are Paying Attention! (AUDIO).
- Schumer Brushes Off China Spy Balloon Getting ‘Enormous Intelligence’ From Flying Over Nuclear Silos, Military Installations (VIDEO).
- House Republicans Push To Ban China From Buying U.S. Farmland.
- BELIEVE IT OR NOT: China Claims It Sighted an Unidentified Flying Object Near Its Border.
- Nord Stream: “Would the German Government tell us if it were the Americans?” – “No Comment”.
- In Case You Missed It… Biden Booed Loudly at Lakers Game in Los Angeles (VIDEO).
- Some Liberal Cities Plan To Further Handcuff Police By Forbidding Certain Traffic Stops.
- AT&T Loses $10 Billion in Value After Deplatforming Newsmax from Direct TV – Users Asked to Cancel Direct TV.
- Medical Examiner Revises ABC News Exec’s Cause of Death Almost Two Months Later: Asphyxia, Not Heart Attack.
- JUDICIAL COUP: Biden Filling Courts with Radical Judges Who Will Put Politics Before the Law.
- Cases of Medical Incidents Reported by Military Pilots Increase by 1,700% More During Pandemic – Pentagon Blames it on COVID.
- “Sy Had This Thing Nailed Down Completely” – Larry Johnson with Emerald Robinson on Sy Hersh Report.
- State Department Urges US Citizens to Avoid Travel to Parts of Mexico Ahead of Spring Break Over Ongoing Violence, Kidnappings.
- GET WOKE GO BROKE: Disney Slashing Up To 7,000 Jobs.
- 25-Year-Old Goalkeeper Dies Suddenly Right After Stopping a Penalty Kick.
Twitter:
- @AgentTruthTell3 - BBC building in Liverpool gets covered in TRUTH stickers as part of the 'Media Is The Virus' protests which took place in 60 locations (in 10 countries) yesterday. (video)
- @charliebilello - With 79% of companies reported, S&P 500 Q4 GAAP earnings are down 23% year-over-year, the 3rd straight quarter of negative YoY growth and the largest decline since Q2 2020. (graph) S&P 500 profit margin in Q4 2021: 13.4% S&P 500 profit margin in Q4 2022: 11.2%. (gaph)
- @KatieDaviscourt - #BREAKING: While discussing UFO’s breaching North American airspace, NORAD Commanding General Vanherck says Aliens and/or Extraterrestrials cannot yet be ruled out.
- @OneAddyAdds - My suspicion has now found corroboration. As was my guess, Matthew Tyrmand is a ringleader in the coup attempt against Project Veritas and James O'Keefe.
- @WallStreetSilv - Debt Crisis looming... (graph)
- @ElectionWiz - EXCLUSIVE: Seymour Hersh discusses his latest scoop on Biden bombing the Nord Stream pipelines, on Radio @TheWarNerd.
- @Disclosetv - NEW - ChatGPT "AI" won't define a woman, praises Democrats but not Republicans, and claims nukes are less dangerous than racism. JUST IN - Pentagon does not know to what keeps these "objects" aloft, unknown propulsion systems. "We're calling them objects, not balloons, for a reason," says U.S. Air Force General Glen VanHerck.
- @alexbruesewitz - Wow. It looks like the Project Veritas board has now been caught just making things up about @JamesOKeefeIII. I stand with James! (video)
- @aginnt - The new Brazilian President has announced if you don’t get vaxx’d, you no longer have rights and are second class citizens. “Children have to be vaccinated. Suppose they don’t have a vaccination certificate. The mother will lose the benefit.” (video)
- @WallStreetApes - This is where we are as a country… amazing…
OpenVAERS:
- VAERS US COVID Vaccine Adverse Event Reports. 934,700 Reports(+5,474 from prior week) Through February 3rd, 2023.
SKirsch.com:
- Using the MGH numbers with our own VAERS queries, we have 247 cases per million doses from the MGH study divided by 5.97 cases per million doses from VAERS. 247/5.97 = 41. This suggests that the VAERS under-reporting factor (URF) is 41X.
Night Trading
- Asian indices are -1.25% to -.25% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 109.75 +4.25 basis points.
- China Sovereign CDS 61.0 +2.5 basis points.
- China Iron Ore Spot 122.4 USD/Metric Tonne -1.9%
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 47.9 -.12%.
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 60.5 +.3%.
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .36 -7.0 basis points.
- Volatility Index(VIX) futures 22.2 +.68%.
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures -.21%.
- S&P 500 futures -.46%.
- NASDAQ 100 futures -.58%.
Saturday, February 11, 2023
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Unidentified Object Shot Down Over Canada in Latest Incident.
- US Recovery of Object Downed Over Alaska Faces Arctic Conditions.
- Japan Says Chinese Navy Ship Entered Its Waters Early Sunday.
- China’s Banks Extend Record Loans as Companies Borrow More.
- ‘Japan’s Ben Bernanke’ Shows MIT’s Sway, With Ueda Eyed for BOJ.
- Investors Mull Surprise BOJ Pick Ueda’s Policy View.
- Credit Suisse CEO Fights on All Fronts as He Faces Lost Year.
- Gen Z Cuts Back Spending Most in Britain’s Cost-of-Living Crisis.
- BlackRock, Pimco Push Back Against Bets Inflation Cooling Fast.
- Credit Markets Are Poised for a Gut Check After 10% Rally.
- Investors Brace for Risk Inflation Dooms Bonds to Bear Market.
- America’s Post-Pandemic Corporate Profit Boom Really Is Over.
- Social Media Buzz: Lyft, Alaska, Anna Paulina Luna, Rihanna.
- Your Saturday Briefing: DeSantis Looms; Super Bowl’s Tight Odds.
Wall Street Journal:
New York vs. Florida, by the Numbers. Some numbers tell a story about comparative governance.
- Amazon Changes at Zappos Dismantle Hsieh’s Legacy.
- Nikola Builds Hydrogen Fuel Network to Power Trucks.
- States Near the Nation’s Capital Avoid Layoffs.
- Chicago’s Push to House Migrants in a Closed School Upsets Neighbors.
- Louis Vuitton’s Formula for World Domination.
- Ukraine Says Russia Delaying New Mobilization.
- High Food Prices, Chinese Demand Boost U.S. Agriculture Companies.
- Natural Gas: Fasten Your Seat Belts.
- Had bullish commentary on (MSFT), (NVDA), (TOST), (IBM), (AMD), (HTZ), (ADBE) and (META).
- Had bearish commentary on (GOOG), (BZFD), (BBAI), (SOUN) and (AI).
Fox News:
- Portion of state’s airspace closed after US military shoots down unidentified object over Canada.
- Republicans demand answers from Biden admin after third object shot down.
- Commercial plane collision at popular US airport leaves several injured.
- Disney show twists Lincoln's history on slavery, pushes anti-White slogan.
- University suspends basketball program weeks before NCAA tournament.
CNBC:
- Dow closes nearly 170 points higher, S&P 500 and Nasdaq post worst week since December.
- Here’s what’s happening with home prices right now.
- Elon Musk’s Neuralink is under investigation for possible unsafe transport of contaminated hardware.
- The ChatGPT AI hype cycle is peaking, but even tech skeptics don’t expect a bust.
- Radioligand cancer therapy forces manufacturers to race against a ticking clock.
Zero Hedge:
- Third High-Altitude Airborne Object Shot Down By US Fighter Jet.
- What's Known So Far About The "Cylindrical & Silverish Gray" Object Downed Over Alaska.
- US State Department Funding Secret 'Disinformation' Crusade To Blacklist Conservative Media.
- What's Known So Far About The "Cylindrical & Silverish Gray" Object Downed Over Alaska.
- Shanghai Container Index Falls Into Triple Digits.
- Ron Paul On Mainstream Media Suppression Of Sy Hersh Report.
- 'Education Crisis': 23 Baltimore City Schools Have No Students Proficient In Math.
- Decoding Google's AI Ambitions (And Anxiety).
- Ugliness Awaits Many Boomers Nearing Retirement.
- FTX Lawyers Escalate Threats To Politicians: Return Donations Or Be Sued.
- After The Worst January Job Cuts 'Since The Great Recession', Here Are 12 Major Layoffs That Have Already Been Announced In February.
- "Extraordinarily Challenging": John Fetterman "Laboring" To Adjust To Senate Due To "Special Needs".
- Millions Of Americans Face "Hunger Cliff" As 32 States Set To Slash Emergency Food Stamp Benefits.
- South Dakota Senate Passes Ban On Puberty Blockers, Trans Surgery.
- Who Benefitted From This Chaos?
- Watch: 10 Videos That Prove That Things Just Got Quite A Bit Weirder.
- This Was Another Big Week For Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
- IRS Tells Millions Of Taxpayers In 22 States To Delay Filing Returns.
- 'Very Disturbing Possibility' US Manufacturing Helped Build Chinese Spy Balloon, Sen. Hawley Says.
- Gaetz Files 'Ukraine Fatigue Resolution' To Stop Funding Proxy War.
- In Complete U-turn, US Issues Temporary Sanctions Waiver To Allow Aid For Syria.
- Whitney: Setting The Record Straight - Stuff You Should Know About Ukraine.
- Max frustration market.
- The Left's Righteous Tyrants.
- Ominous Sign: Internet Searches For "Cancel Golf Membership" Jump.
- 'Sickening' Account Of Mutilations, Sterilizations Prompts Sen. Josh Hawley To Investigate Transgender Clinic.
- Top Gun Rights Groups And Two Dozen States All Rush To Stop ATF Rule Against Pistol Braces.
- What's At Stake In The Fresh Battle For Search Dominance.
- 43% Of Rural Hospitals Are In The Red: 6 Things To Know.
- AI is dominating the action in the stock market right now.
- Look for stocks to lose 30% from here, says strategist David Rosenberg. And don’t even think about turning bullish until 2024.
- Opinion: The stock market is wishing and hoping the Fed will pivot — but the pain won’t end until investors panic.
- Top executives facing higher interest rates and earnings pressure cut corporate debt levels.
- Opinion: These 2 oil stocks look cheap now because of their ‘ESG discount’ — but maybe not for long.
- Opinion: Home prices have a long way to fall before housing is affordable again.
NewsMax:
TheGatewayPundit.com:
- What Conflict of Interest? California AG’s Wife Appointed to Run House Committee that Oversees His Budget.
- Greenwald on Nord Stream: “You Have to Spread Lies on Behalf of the CIA to Get Ahead in Journalism”.
- REPORT: Final Court Documents Containing Names Of And “Salacious” Information On Epstein’s Cronies To Be Unsealed – Will Bill Clinton Be Mentioned?
- New Jersey Superintendent Attacks 14-Year-Old Girl Who Committed Suicide After Her Brutal Beating Was Posted Online.
- BOOM: DeSantis Gets Expanded Powers And More Money To Send Illegal Immigrants To Blue States.
- THIS IS WHAT FASCISM LOOKS LIKE: New York City Teachers Who Refused The COVID Jab Had Their Fingerprints And Personnel Files Sent To The Corrupt FBI (AUDIO).
- ‘High-Altitude Object’ Shot Down Over Alaska Entered US Airspace Before it Was Detected.
- It Begins: Brazilian Socialist President Lula da Silva Forces Poor Families to Vaccinate their Children So They Can Receive Financial Aid from His Regime Or Risk Receiving Nothing (VIDEO).
- 34-Year-Old Singer and Actor Cody Longo Found Dead in His Home.
- UPDATE: Project Veritas Donors Send Letter Demanding Board Members to “Cease Actions Threatening Project Veritas’ Mission”.
- Biden Appointee Who Pushes the Unconstitutional Military Vaccine Mandate to Resign.
- Jim Jordan Opens Weaponization Committee Hearings Detailing FBI Whistleblower Claims (VIDEO).
- House Republicans Just Blocked A Law That Would Have Allowed Illegal Immigrants To Vote In Washington, DC.
- Gas Pipeline That Supplies Las Vegas Shuts Down Due to Leak on Busy Super Bowl Weekend.
- Dems Want to Remove ‘Shameful’ Statue Across from White House Due to Racism – It’s a Founder of Their Party.
- Graduate Student Found Dead at North Carolina State University – 7th Incident of Student Who Died Since School Year Began.
The Epoch Times:
Twitter:
- @QTRResearch - The Spy Balloon Distracts From Much Larger Warning Signs From China.
- @CitizenFreePres - Pilots that flew near the Alaska object that was shot down said that it interfered with their sensors. (video)
- @theinformantofc - #UnitedStates Closes Airspace Over North Central #Montana, #NOTAM Declares "National Defense Airspace". (map)
OpenVAERS:
- VAERS US COVID Vaccine Adverse Event Reports. 934,700 Reports(+5,474 from prior week) Through February 3rd, 2023.
SKirsch.com:
- Using the MGH numbers with our own VAERS queries, we have 247 cases per million doses from the MGH study divided by 5.97 cases per million doses from VAERS. 247/5.97 = 41. This suggests that the VAERS under-reporting factor (URF) is 41X.
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