Weekly Scoreboard*

S&P 500 7,748.9 +3.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

• DJIA 54,069.6 +2.9%

• NASDAQ 26,665.7 +5.1%

• Russell 2000 3,034.6 +3.3%

• NYSE FANG+ 18,687.3 +8.0%

• Goldman 50 Most Shorted 327.7 +9.1%
• Vaneck Social Sentiment 35.6 +6.7%

• Wilshire 5000 76,831.4 +3.7%

• Russell 1000 Growth 5,008.8 +4.9%

• Russell 1000 Value 2,529.2 +2.2%

• S&P 500 Consumer Staples 940.8 -.1%

• Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 271.4 +3.0%
  

• NYSE Technology 9,516.6 +7.0%

• Transports 21,537.9 +2.4%

• Utilities 1,101.4 -1.8%

• MSCI Europe Banks 139.1 +1.6%
  

• MSCI Emerging Markets 65.45 +2.1%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 268.97 +1.1%

• Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 135.78 -.01%

Sentiment/Internals

• NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 623,527 +.5%
• Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.5 -23.3%

• Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 413 +312

• Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -15.4 -42.6%

• CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 120,108 +47.0%

• CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,859795 -.3%

• Total Put/Call .77 -12.8%

• OEX Put/Call .38 +4.8%

• ISE Sentiment 179.0 +3.5%

• NYSE Arms 1.04 -1.0%
  
• Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 126.0 -.4%
• Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.31 +26.0 basis point
• Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.41 +11.0 basis points

• Volatility(VIX) 14.9 -6.6%
• S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .57 -2.1%

• CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 10.2 +4.8%

• G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.43 +.5%

• Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.95 -.1%

• Smart Money Flow Index 18,320.5 +3.8%
• NAAIM Exposure Index  79.7 unch.

• ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.909 Trillion +.7%

• ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$18.297 Million

• AAII % Bulls 37.0 +19.4%

• AAII % Bears 38.0 -9.7%
• CNN Fear & Greed Index 64.0 (Moved to GREED from FEAR) +23.0

Futures Spot Prices

• CRB Index 377.0 -1.9%

• Crude Oil 78.12/bbl. -10.0%

• Reformulated Gasoline 298.40 -6.2%

• Natural Gas 2.66 -4.3%
• US Power PJM Western Hub Peak Forward Y1 76.6 USD/Megawatt -7.1% 
• Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 55.7 euros/megawatt-hour -6.9%
  

• Heating Oil 391.0 -5.4% 
• Newcastle Coal 129.8 (1,000/metric ton) -2.8%

• Gold 4,336.9 +7.3%
• Silver 63.3 +9.9%
  

• Bloomberg Industrial Metals Index 179.4 +1.5%

• Copper 659.3 +1.3%

• US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 380.0 USD/Metric Tonne -3.9%

• China Iron Ore Spot 94.80 USD/Metric Tonne +1.2%
• China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 21,025.0 USD/metric tonne -3.2%
• Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index 1.20(price per million tokens) -11.6% 
• inSpectrum Tech Inc. DRAM Spot DDR5 16Gb 1Gx16 49.66 +1.9%  

• CME Lumber 574.0 -6.4%

• UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,486.8 +2.9%
• US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 340.0 USD/Short Ton unch.
• US Gulf NOLA Urea Granular Spot 397.50 USD/Short Ton -6.8%

Economy

• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Forecast +5.8% +80.0 basis points

• US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 14.6 +1.8 percentage points

• NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.68 +10.7%
• Caldara Iacoviello Geopolitical Risk Index 225.2 +55.7% 
• Global Monitor Iran Instability Index 74.0 +18.0
• Strait of Hormuz Oil Tanker Traffic Curtailed 90.0% unch.

• US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 173.9 -22.6%
• Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index .8 -.4
• DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $215.0 Billion($1,335.40 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
• S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(442 of 500 reporting) +51.4% -5.6 percentage points

• S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 387.59 +8.32:  Growth Rate +31.8% +1.7 percentage points, P/E 19.9 +.5
• S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 16.23% +22.0 basis points
• NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +138.4% +.1 percentage point
• NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 942.53 +17.90: Growth Rate +81.8% +3.5 percentage points, P/E 19.5 +1.1

• Citi US Economic Surprise Index 29.50 -8.8 points

• Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 67.9 +1.9 points

• Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 23.6 -2.6 points

• Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 3.25-3.5%, 56.1%(+23.1 percentage points) chance of no change, 43.9%(-23.1 percentage points) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 3.75-4.0% on 9/16

• US Dollar Index 99.6 -.3%

• MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,897.3 +.3%
  

• Bitcoin/USD 64,782.6 +2.1%

• Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 208.4 -.4%
• Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.35 unch.

• Yield Curve(2s/10s) 45.5 +.75 basis point

• 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.66% -8.0 basis points
• Japan 30-Year Yield 3.93% -7.0 basis points

• Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.701 Trillion +.2%
• Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.253 Billion +10.6%

• U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.5 -5.8%
  

• Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 182.6 -1.7%
  

• Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 77.0 -4.0 basis point
• UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 17.6 -3.0%

• China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.3 -2.1%
  

• Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 123.0 -1.4%
  

• Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 55.1 -11.3%
• Dubai Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.5 -6.7%

• South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 22.8 -.3%

• China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.2 +.4%
• China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 122.1 +1.8%
  

• Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.3% unch.
• Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +2.1% unch.
• US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.0% unch.
• CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.0% unch.
• Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.31% unch.: CPI YoY +3.42% unch.
• 1-Year TIPS Spread 1.71 -21.0 basis points
• 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.25 -3.0 basis points

• Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 14.75 +.75 basis point
• 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -14.75 -.5 basis point

• 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap .50 -.75 basis point

• N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 50.75 -3.8% 
• BofA Private Credit Proxy Index 74.7 +9.3%

• America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 151.0 unch.
• High-Yield Tech Sector OAS Index 418.5 -7.6% 
• Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 224.0 +16.0

• European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 53.6 -3.6%

• Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 140.8 -3.2%
  

• MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 114.0 -1.0 basis point
• Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 559.0 +1.0 basis point
• Avg. Auto ABS OAS .44 +1.0 basis point

• M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +5.5% -10.0 basis points

• Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,427.1B +2.2%

• 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 198,750 -2.2%

• Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
• Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 55.6 -1.6%

• Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.78% +6.0 basis points

• Weekly Mortgage Applications 240,000 -2.9%

• Weekly Retail Sales +8.2% +10.0 basis points
• OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +13.0% unch.
• Box Office Weekly Gross $306.1M n/a

• Nationwide Gas $4.04/gallon -.07/gallon

• Baltic Dry Index 3,057.0 +11.9%
• Drewry World Container Freight Index $4,297.5/40 ft Box +1.0%
  

• China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,839.0 -.9%

• Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 202.50 -1.2%
• Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 97.3 -4.5%

• Rail Freight Carloads 293,029 +.06%
• TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,794,275 +7.5% 
• US Morning Consult Daily Consume Sentiment Index 90.9 +.3 point
• Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Approval Tacking Poll 44.0% unch.

Best Performing Style

• Mid-Cap Growth +5.1%

Worst Performing Style

• Small-Cap Value +1.9%

Leading Sectors

• Gold & Silver +19.0%

• Space +16.8%
• Robotics +10.2%

• Semis +8.7%
  

• Software +8.2%
  

Lagging Sectors

• REITs -.5%

• I-Banks -.7%
  

• Utilities -1.6%

• Gambling -2.7%
  

• Energy -4.7%
  

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (73)

• DOCS, MTW, QNST, TEAM, PUBM, CRSR, TWLO, FIGS, SPT, NTRA, PSIX, OMDA, FIVN, FLR, HALO, ROAD, AXTI, TNDM, GRDN, ABNB, SVV, TILE, OKLO, WLDN, CON, CVSA, ONTO, IAG, COHR, DV, ZLAB, FOXF, AAOI, SPCX, MP, ICUI, CART, MITK, CDE, PLTR, CAI, GFI, ERO, EQX, MATV, MSIF, AAUC, TENX, PLSE, WPP, NET, AEM, UBER, DKNG, AMPH, IBTA, AGI, WAY, SSMR, ONC, EFC, GMAB, MAIN, ZD, FSLR, MMS, DEO, KRP, ETSY, OBDC and BMRN 

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (23)

• ACIW, CLMT, LOMA, EZPW, WDC, AKAM, PGNY, ELAN, HUT, ANIP, LB, ESE, AMRZ, NEWT, TDS, POST, MATW, ASIX, IIIV, TTD, LASR, ODEL and SEZL

ETFs

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

Stocks

• High-Volume Gainers

• High-Volume Losers

*5-Day Change