BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is lower into the final hour on losses in my Medical longs, Computer longs and Commodity shorts. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 100% net long. The tone of the market is negative as the advance/decline line is lower, most sectors are falling and volume is below average. The S&P Case-Shiller Housing Composite futures point to a 5.1% decline in the average home price by May 2007 from current levels. I would hardly classify this as a hard landing, considering how much the median home price is up over the last decade. I expect a stabilizing housing market will be another catalyst for higher stock prices over the intermediate-term. I expect US stocks to trade modestly higher into the close from current levels on short-covering and bargain-hunting ahead of tomorrow’s Fed announcement.
Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Monday, August 07, 2006
Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising Apprehension ahead of Fed Meeting and Higher Energy Prices
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