Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Rising Global Growth Fears, Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.79 +2.76%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.15 +.31%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.82 +.77%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.84 +3.65%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 -28.69%
  • Total Put/Call .98 +36.1%
  • NYSE Arms .77 -13.22% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.93 +2.48%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 120.85 +2.45%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 69.0 -1.43%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 270.53 +2.50%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 11.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 21.25 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -3.0 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 221.0 +1 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $131.20/Metric Tonne -.08%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -2.1 -7.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.10 -4.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 -1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +68 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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