Friday, October 18, 2013

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Earnings Optimism, Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Tech/Transport Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.32 -1.19%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.58 -.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.34 -2.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 36.92 -3.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 unch.
  • Total Put/Call .67 -23.86%
  • NYSE Arms 1.35 +19.47% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.20 -.24%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 120.37 -3.01%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 71.32 +1.12%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 256.60 -2.71%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 21.50 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -6.5 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 227.0 -7 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $134.40/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 23.20 -.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -9.60 -1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.18 +1 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +124 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered all of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long

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