Thursday, October 10, 2013

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Diminishing US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Worries, Central Bank Hopes, Short-Covering, Financial/Biotech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.39 -16.33%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.58 +.96%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.37 -2.40%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.78 -15.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 -19.27%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -26.72%
  • NYSE Arms .44 -47.05% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 78.90 -5.26%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 130.728 -5.83%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 78.28 +.37%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 278.99 -3.67%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 13.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.75 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.50 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .05% +1 basis point
  • Yield Curve 234.0 +5 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $133.0/Metric Tonne +.91%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 35.90 -7.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.90 -2.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +230 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +52 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical /retail/tech/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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