Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Rising US Debt Ceiling/Shutdown Worries, Earnings Concerns, Technical Selling, Homebuilding/Defense Sector Weakness
Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
- Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 17.89 +11.33%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 138.69 -.54%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.88 -1.33%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 50.41 +12.25%
- ISE Sentiment Index 68.0 -26.88%
- Total Put/Call 1.01 +14.77%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.35 +.74%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 120.71 -5.77%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 73.0 +.69%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 268.33 -2.62%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 12.75 -1.0 basis point
- TED Spread 14.75 -4.25 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.0 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% +4 basis points
- Yield Curve 237.0 +4 basis points
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $133.60/Metric Tonne n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 30.90 -1.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.80 +1.4 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21 unch.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +7 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating -17 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
- Disclosed Trades: Added to my my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: 25% Net Long
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