Monday, September 22, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Technical Selling, Commodity/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.82 +14.12%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.81 -.20%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.40 +1.47%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 51.64 +15.35%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 57.0 -29.63%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 +30.48%
  • NYSE Arms 1.13 +24.04% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 58.23 +3.75%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.94 +2.43%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.52 -1.03%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.23 +1.0%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 223.28 +.90%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 305.21 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.50 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.25 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.25 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 202.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $79.80/Metric Tonne -2.33%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 21.0 +1.0 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.80 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.99 -4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -95 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/biotech/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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