Friday, September 26, 2014

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Quarter-End Window-Dressing, Central Bank Hopes, Yen Weakness, Gaming/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.34 -8.31%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.83 +.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.76 +1.57%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 49.33 -8.73%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 +26.09%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 -7.89%
  • NYSE Arms .75 -64.77% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.61 +3.05%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.24 +3.80%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.08 -1.09%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.82 +5.62%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 265.26 +3.40%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 310.85 +.87%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 23.0 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.0 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 195.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $78.60/Metric Tonne unch.
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 26.20 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.80 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.98 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +220 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +53 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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