Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Rising European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Escalating Mideast Tensions, Healthcare/Transport Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.59 +6.57%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.24 +.16%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.38 -.40%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 53.43 +5.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 78.0 +32.20%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 +.94%
  • NYSE Arms .95 -22.92% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 59.98 +2.04%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.66 +3.11%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.29 +6.65%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.66 +1.94%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 258.13 +.11%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 307.85 +.86%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -8.25 +2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 200.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $79.40/Metric Tonne -.50%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 21.10 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.60 +3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.02 +3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -105 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -14 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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