Friday, August 07, 2015

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Fed Rate Hike Worries, China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Rising European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Energy/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.36 +4.38%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.30 -.03%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.36 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.95 -.36%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 56.0 -9.68%
  • Total Put/Call 1.21 -5.47%
  • NYSE Arms 1.65 +129.42% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 75.85 +1.97%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,837.0 +1.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 76.58 +2.33%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.48 +1.79%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 65.25 +.61%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 336.88 +.55%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.99 -.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.0 +3.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% +3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 145.0 -8.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.40/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.2 -.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 15.0 -6.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.5 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 -1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.62 -.06
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -124 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -161 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +2 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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