Thursday, August 06, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Fed Rate Hike Worries, Rising Emering Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.99 +11.83%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.34 +.06%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.49 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.11 +.23%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 60.0 -35.48%
  • Total Put/Call 1.21 +24.74%
  • NYSE Arms .62 -40.46% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 74.38 +3.22%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,7867.0 -.01%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.64 +1.66%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.09 +.02%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.55 +1.28%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 336.85 +3.91%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.10 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.5 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 +.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% -5.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 153.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.40/Metric Tonne -.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -7.6 +.6 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 21.5 +3.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -5.5 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.67 -3.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 4.68 -.03
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -41 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -200 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -18 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/retail/medical/tech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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