Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Fed Rate Hike Worries, Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Concerns, Homebuilding/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.74 +1.43%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.43 -.30%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.28 -1.38%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.93 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +11.39%
  • Total Put/Call .95 -5.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.17 -26.18% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.25 +.43%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,777.0 +12.61%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.75 +.61%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.38 -2.10%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.14 -.79%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 325.95 +.18%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.93 -.14%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 149.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.29/Metric Tonne -.61%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.0 unch.
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.1 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.8 +1.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.48 +.11
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +25 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -270 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/retail sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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