Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Earnings Outlook Concerns, Technical Selling, Biotech/Homebuilding Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.48 -.31%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.54 +.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.39 -2.23%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.37 +2.07%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 54.0 -48.08%
  • Total Put/Call .91 -9.0%
  • NYSE Arms .67 +42.06% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 87.52 -1.01%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,099.0 -1.92%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 84.81 -3.12%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.58 -3.38%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 83.82 -.29%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 348.88 -.47%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.88 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.25 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 33.75 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -25.50 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.99 +.79%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield -.01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 143.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $53.14/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -29.40 +.3 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 13.90 -4.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.30 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.53 +2.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 6.97 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +104 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating n/a open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then covered some of them
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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