Thursday, April 14, 2016

Stocks Sighltly Higher into Final Hour on Less European/Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Diminished Global Growth Fears, Technical Buying, Transport/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Slightly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.80 -.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 128.64 -.13%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.35 +.18%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 56.46 +1.18%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 -19.8%
  • Total Put/Call .86 +43.33%
  • NYSE Arms .86 -14.57
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 78.39 -.78%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,255.0 -12.34%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 88.46 -5.8%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.61 -3.53%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 55.84 -1.08%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 281.49 -1.66%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 127.31 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 40.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.50 +1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.74 -.04%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .22% unch.
  • Yield Curve 102.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.38/Metric Tonne -1.82%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.20 -3.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -26.30 +.8 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.7 unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.57% unch.
  • 17.3% chance of Fed rate hike at June 15 meeting, 28.4% chance at July 27 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -46 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +25 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

No comments: